{"id":81,"date":"2014-06-07T15:09:06","date_gmt":"2014-06-07T15:09:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/existencia.org\/pro\/?p=81"},"modified":"2014-06-07T15:09:06","modified_gmt":"2014-06-07T15:09:06","slug":"impulse-responses-to-enso","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/existencia.org\/pro\/?p=81","title":{"rendered":"Impulse Responses to ENSO"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>El Nino and La Nina affects crops in a lot of different ways.  I&#8217;ve been looking at the response of agricultural yields over time to an ENSO event, where, depending on the dynamics of the social-natural system, impacts could persist for years after the impact or even emerge before the impact.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s what country-wide production look like, in this impulse response framework.  Neither Chile nor Egypt show a response to La Nina, but they both have strong responses (which appear to oscillate) to Modoki El Ninos.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/existencia.org\/pro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/country-response.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/existencia.org\/pro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/country-response-300x300.png\" alt=\"country-response\" width=\"300\" height=\"300\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-82\" srcset=\"https:\/\/existencia.org\/pro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/country-response-300x300.png 300w, https:\/\/existencia.org\/pro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/country-response-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/existencia.org\/pro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/country-response.png 525w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The map below shows areas where Maize is grown (anywhere but black).  Areas in white show no significant response from ENSO.  Colored areas deviate from grey in three bands: red for a response to traditional El Ninos, green for a response to Modoki El Ninos, and blue for La Ninas.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/existencia.org\/pro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/yieldcorr.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/existencia.org\/pro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/yieldcorr-300x81.png\" alt=\"yieldcorr\" width=\"300\" height=\"81\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-83\" srcset=\"https:\/\/existencia.org\/pro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/yieldcorr-300x81.png 300w, https:\/\/existencia.org\/pro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/yieldcorr.png 675w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El Nino and La Nina affects crops in a lot of different ways. I&#8217;ve been looking at the response of agricultural yields over time to an ENSO event, where, depending on the dynamics of the social-natural system, impacts could persist for years after the impact or even emerge before the impact. Here&#8217;s what country-wide production [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-81","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-research"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p4Zh9E-1j","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/existencia.org\/pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/existencia.org\/pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/existencia.org\/pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/existencia.org\/pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/existencia.org\/pro\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=81"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/existencia.org\/pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/existencia.org\/pro\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=81"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/existencia.org\/pro\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=81"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/existencia.org\/pro\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=81"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}