James A. Rising

Multi-Level Governance in Fisheries

February 7, 2013 · Leave a Comment

Here’s a draft of the short talk I gave at the Multi-Level Governance plenary at the Earth System Governance Tokyo Conference:

Fisheries are an ideal example of the need and potential for multi-level governance.  For decades, governments have struggled with overfishing and degradation of marine and inland waters.  Small fishing communities, fish stocks and food chains, factory ships, and policy-makers all act on different scales.  The various components of fisheries policy—gear and catch restrictions, protected areas, and monitoring—also act on idiosyncratic scales.

Despite decades of experience, fish stocks continue to collapse.  This is the consequence of multi-level complexity, and in many ways, the result of a deep tragedy of the commons, playing out across scales and across boundaries.  Fisheries are constantly confronted with multi-level issues: multiple stressors, from acidification to invasive species; environmental and human variability; cross-scale issues driven by the scale of fish ranges, environmental forcing, and foreign fleets; and failures of traditional management.  Governance of fisheries that is focused on a single scale cannot effectively manage resources that have their dynamics playing out on multiple levels and multiple scales.  Fishery contexts have many of the characteristics that make commons management difficult: ownership rights are weak, dynamics are unpredictable, stocks are mobile and widely dispersed, and outside pressures are strong.  Many effective traditional management practices fail when confronted with modern demands.  These are many of the same problems confronted in other areas of sustainable development, for example around climate change, water use, and biodiversity loss.

However, multi-level governance exposes possibilities for management that do not exist at any single scale.  The basic approach in fisheries multi-level management is called “co-management”: regional and national government acts on a large scale with policies explicitly designed to support local fishing communities acting on small scales.  The effective functions of large-scale government include monitoring of fish stocks, setting targets and allotments, identifying ecosystems for protection, enforcing boundaries, capacity building and legitimization, and facilitating communication across boundaries.  The local management level, then, is free to ensure fair fishing practices, coordinate amongst stakeholders, identify community needs, and monitor fisherman compliance and boundaries.

More generally, the fishery is an example of a multi-level commons, and I think that many of the lessons from fisheries are applicable to other commons.  The potentials for management in the multi-level commons are greater than the traditional commons in a number of ways.

First, regime shifts, and tipping points and resilience, are concrete, measurable phenomena.  We see them all the time in fisheries, and they manifest in multi-scale ways.  They can be very difficult to reverse, but sometimes they heal far better than we could expect when allowed the room to do so.  Strong management can ensure sustainability—we see it in some of the fisheries in California and elsewhere.

Second, uncertainty and unpredictability are a norm of fish ecosystems, and the multi-scale perspective will not diminish that problem.  We need robust institutions that can coexist with chaos and catastrophe.

Third, in multi-level situations, spatial organization matters.  Models that ignore spatial structures, spatial heterogeneity, spatially-mediated resilience, neighborhood effects and teleconnected regions typically miss important dynamics.  Policies that do not support spatial choices or recognize the importance of spatial arrangements can miss important opportunities.  Key dynamics play out differently in different areas, and how areas interact with each other is important for governance.

Fourth, boundaries within multi-level environments are not predetermined and where they are drawn can make a huge difference.  The divisions that seem natural at one scale can be integral components of another scale, which highlights the opportunities to make important choices.  Boundaries create institutions, and they can be formed to delineate groups with common interests and or areas with coherent dynamics.  Boundaries allow groups the space to self-organize local institutions.   Boundaries can carve out healthy areas to be maintained, which, through cross-boundary effects, can support sustainability throughout a region.

The construction of institutional boundaries and other government policies has also been at the heart of much harm in fishery commons, by undermining traditional regimes.  The process of boundary construction needs to be married to a deep political process that engages both stakeholders and scientists.

Fifth, cross-boundary effects are the norm in multi-level commons.  Whether they are in the form of the benefits beyond boundaries of protected areas, or cross-boundary pollution, or the impact of exploitation of resources on scales greater than that of a given community, when a commons is situated within a large area, the larger scale dictates the constraints of the local commons.

A wide range of empirical questions remains to be addressed, but there are two challenges that ahead that are most central.  First, we need to better understand how multi-level and multi-scale perspectives can be incorporated into our quantitative models, to form new techniques of asking multi-level research questions, and to bring those results into the policy realm.

Second, inequality is a core factor and a key challenge for multi-level governance.  The history of local fisheries management is centered around transfers of power, often across levels of exploitation—either through centralization, or to the much larger players that come with greater market forces.  Early critiques of the privatization of the commons focused on the inequality that it created.  The measurement of success in fisheries—whether by maximum yield or maximum economic benefit—is politically charged.

I recently attended a talk by E.O. Wilson, where he gave “Wilson’s Law”: “If you save the living environment, the biodiversity that we have left, you will also automatically save the physical environment too. But if you save only the physical environment, you will ultimately lose both.”

We need to find a place in our world for healthy relationships with our ecosystems and the people who rely on them.  Thank you.

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Open Model Proposal

October 3, 2012 · Leave a Comment

I am presenting the Open Model at EcoSummit 2012 this week. Here’s my poster.  I want to frame it as a proposal– a vision for a better framework for combining models and analyzing social-ecological systems– but huge parts of it are built and ready for use. Now I’m just looking for more people to start using it!

Here’s another version of the idea, as a vision statement for a coupled natural-human systems project: Read about the Fisheries Project.  You can see a more concrete outline of the existing material.

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Science and Policy Summer School

August 21, 2012 · Leave a Comment

This past June, a core group of the PhD students organised the first Science and Policy Summer School at the Columbia Global Center in Paris. With help from the Alliance Program and professors at both Columbia and Sciences Po, we were able to convene a group of 17 students from both sides of the Atlantic (Columbia, Arizona State, and the Universities of Minnesota and Southern California, and from Sciences Po, Pantheon-Sorbonne, École Polytechnique, École Normale Supérieure, and the Paris School of Economics) with 9 speakers (including Jeff Sachs, John Mutter, and Scott Barrett; Bruno Latour, Claude Henry, and Pierre-Henri Gouyon from Paris; Eric Maskin from Princeton; and representatives from the French government and NGOs).

The interdisciplinary, discussion-centered approach brought together a wide range of perspectives.  Discussions were lively, with students and professors engaging research and experience to better understand how to bridge the gap between science and policy-making. At the end of the week, student groups presented on the results of their own meetings and research.  Themes included scientific approaches to decision-making, South-South cooperation, global and national needs, the role of stakeholders, and international cooperation.  The participants left the summer school with renewed interest in continuing to discuss these topics and collaborate on reports and papers.

You can also read about the summer school in this article in the Sciences Po Newsletter, Global Horizons: http://www.sciencespo.fr/newsletter/actu/?id=2230.

We are hoping to continue this effort by having a second Science and Policy Summer School, and as the planning process begins, we hope to widen our community.  Contact me if you want to get involved.

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Deliberative Network Proposal

June 3, 2012 · Leave a Comment

The world needs a global dialogue.  A wide variety of economic, environmental, and political problems demand a deeper involvement from civil society.  We need to invite new ideas, and to ensure that the best ideas are discovered, refined, and acted upon.

To make this discussion effective, we need new structures for deliberative problem solving which invite involvement, learning, commitment, and effective solutions.  Both international debate summits and scientific journals provide models, but they are too slow and too exclusive.  Wikipedia represents another vision of collaboration, but is too limited for effective deliberation.

The Deliberative Network is a response to this problem, by providing a new structure of social interaction.

Read the rest of the proposal and send me your comments!  Deliberative Network Proposal

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Non-Renewable Spaceship

January 4, 2012 · Leave a Comment

The goal of the Non-Renewable Spaceship project is to sketch the needs for a functioning ecosystem capable of sustaining a given population in space. Two motivations underlie this research: First, to construct a scenario which motivates society to set aside non-renewable resources for an indefinite future (in case of catastrophe, or if we find that “weak sustainability” is insufficient after all). Second, to try to answer E. O. Wilson’s question, “What do we need to save, for a healthy future world?” I’ve already worked out some of the principle resources: space, water, take-off fuel needs, and the ecosystem diversity that can be maintained under it.

See my presentation to the SDev student colloquium (results near the end). Try out different parameters of a partial model.

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Virtual Gini Sectors

May 8, 2011 · Leave a Comment

Using agricultural sector and income data, it is possible to calculate estimated Gini coefficients, based on a two-sector model. By comparing these estimates to measured Ginis, one can calculate the theoretical size of a poverty sector, expressed as a portion of the population with 0 income and a wealth sector, expressed as the portion of income earned by only the infinitesimally few.

See the calculations in my Gini Sectors Working Paper, and the calculated upper and lower bounds as a table for various countries.

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Research Projects, Spring 2011

March 8, 2011 · Leave a Comment

My current research interests center around four avenues of exploration:

Open Model for Climate Behaviors: I applied for an EPA fellowship based on this. The idea is to construct a dynamic model of sufficient complexity that it’s possible to identify tipping points in the forces that affect American society’s climate behaviors. In other words, to build a system to help find small policy changes, which will grow to really change how people act. (Project Proposal)

Glaciers and Flooding in Himalayan River Basins: The Himalayan glaciers are melting, and their rivers are flooding– might these be related? No one seems to have checked. But I have a bunch of remote sensing analysis and good modeling that might be close to an answer. (Working Paper)

System Regression Estimators: My colleagues spend all their time running regressions, agonizing to find “exogenous” variables– variables which affect things but aren’t themselves affected. I don’t think such things exist, and I have some math that might let us give up the battle and estimate the relationships in whole systems, where everything affects everything else.

Self-Organized Criticality in Ecology: Self-organization is everywhere in human and natural systems, yet we’re only beginning to understand its implications. In particular, I think we’re very close to being able to describe ecological systems in the terms of self-organization, and I intend to give it a try.

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Paraphrasing Code Released!

March 8, 2011 · Leave a Comment

I’ve just finished extracting and releasing the various blocks of code
necessary for automated paraphrasing (and some other things besides).
Get the code or dlls here:
https://github.com/jrising/Virsona-ChatBot-Tools

The README is currently very sparse, but it describe the code
available (which includes tagging, parsing, morphology, paraphrasing,
wordnet access, the plugin framework, and general-use tools) and how
to begin using it.  All of the code is LGPL.

The paraphrasing code was undergoing development when I stopped
working on it, so there’s a lot more that can be done.  It currently
just knows how replace words with unambiguous synonyms, rearrange noun
and verb conjunctions, and rearrange declarative phrases a few ways
(e.g. active to passive).  It can work on a complete body of text,
knows how to respect capitalization, and can try to emphasize
particular phrases.  And it’s quite fast, but often makes no changes
at all.

In my tests, it seems to be working fine, but I did have to rearrange
a fair amount of code and didn’t test if very thoroughly, so tell me
if there are any problems.

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